区域经济发展对区域物流.doc
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区域经济发展对区域物流,摘 要区域物流系统是区域经济发展大系统的子系统之一。我国区域物流业的发展正值起步阶段，许多地方纷纷把区域物流业列为支柱产业以大力发展。此时，深入分析和探讨影响区域物流需求的主要区域经济发展因素有着十分重要的现实意义。江苏是经济大省，经济总量及gdp增长率一直位于全国前列。寻找并确定影响江苏省区域物流需求的区域经济发展因...
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摘 要
区域物流系统是区域经济发展大系统的子系统之一。我国区域物流业的发展正值起步阶段，许多地方纷纷把区域物流业列为支柱产业以大力发展。此时，深入分析和探讨影响区域物流需求的主要区域经济发展因素有着十分重要的现实意义。江苏是经济大省，经济总量及GDP增长率一直位于全国前列。寻找并确定影响江苏省区域物流需求的区域经济发展因素，并且对这些区域经济发展因素进行影响力分析具有十分重要的理论意义和实际价值。主要研究内容如下：
(1)在介绍和分析区域物流需求指标和区域物流需求影响因素指标的基础上，定性分析区域经济发展与区域物流的影响关系。
(2)运用ADF检验和协整检验综合分析区域经济发展因素与区域物流需求的协整关系。把存在协整关系的区域经济发展因素指标与区域物流需求量进行格兰杰因果关系检验，进一步确定因果关系类型。确定对江苏省区域物流需求具有推动作用的六个区域经济发展因素分别为地区生产总值(GDP)、第一产业生产总值(GDP1)、第二产业生产总值(GDP2)、全社会固定资产投资、社会消费品零售总额及人均收入。
(3)运用灰关联熵分析法，把对江苏省区域物流需求具有推动作用的六个区域经济发展因素进行影响力分析，研究结果按影响力从大到小依次为全社会固定资产投资、社会消费品零售总额、人均收入、第一产业生产总值(GDP1)、地区生产总值(GDP)和第二产业生产总值(GDP2)。
(4)根据江苏省实际情况，分别从区域经济发展规模及产业结构两个角度分析全社会固定资产投资、社会消费品零售总额、人均收入、第一产业生产总值、地区生产总值及第二产业生产总值对江苏省区域物流需求的影响作用，并且根据江苏省区域物流需求的特征提出江苏省发展区域物流产业的对策及建议。
关键词 区域物流；物流需求；协整检验；区域经济；江苏省
Abstract
Regional logistics system is a subsystem of regional economic development’s large-scale system. Regional logistics development in China is positive on its initial stage, many places have developed regional logistics industry as a pillar industry. At this point, deep analysis and discussion of major regional economic development factors for regional logistics demands has very important significance in practice. Jiangsu is a major economic province, with its economic output and GDP growth rate at the forefront of the country. It is of great theoretical and practical value to determine the regional economic development factors of regional logistics demands for Jiangsu Province, and to analyze these factors’ impact on regional logistics demands. The main contents are as follows:
(1) Based on regional logistics demand indicators and indicators of influencing factors of regional logistics demands, the paper analyzes relations between regional economic development and regional logistics demands qualitatively.
(2) With the methods of ADF Test and Cointegration Test, the paper researches cointegration relationships between regional economic development indicators and regional logistics demands comprehensively. Then it makes the Granger Causality Test of regional economic development indicators and regional logistics demand indicators with cointegration relationship, and defines the types of causal relationships. The regional economic development indicators that promote the regional logistics demands in Jiangsu Province respectively are: regional GDP(GDP), GDP of primary industry (GDP1), GDP of secondary industry(GDP2), total fixed asset investment, total retail sales of consumer goods and income per capita.
(3) With the method of Gray Relational Entropy Analysis, the paper researches the impact of the six regional economic development indicators that promote the regional logistics demands in Jiangsu. The impact in decreasing order is: total fixed asset investment, total retail sales of consumer goods, income per capita, GDP of primary industry(GDP1), GDP and GDP of secondary industry(GDP2).
(4) According to the actual situation of Jiangsu Province, the paper analyzes the impact of fixed asset investment, total retail sales of consumer goods, income per capita, GDP of primary industry(GDP1), GDP and GDP of secondary industry(GDP2) on regional logistics demands in Jiangsu Province, from the point of regional economic development scale and industry structure respectively. In the end the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for Jiangsu Province’s regional logistics industry development according to the characteristics of Jiangsu ’s regional logistics demands.
Keywords regional logistics; logistics demands; cointegration test; regional economy; Jiangsu Province
目 录
摘 要 Ⅰ
Abstract Ⅱ
第1章 绪论 - 1 -
1.1 研究背景和意义 - 1 -
1.1.1 研究背景 - 1 -
1.1.2 研究意义 - 3 -
1.2 研究现状 - 4 -
1.2.1 国外研究现状 - 4 -
1.2.2 国内研究现状 - 5 -
1.3 研究内容、研究方法及创新点 - 7 -
1.3.1 研究内容 - 7 -
1.3.2 研究方法 - 7 -
1.3.3 创新点 - 8 -
1.4 结构安排及技术路线 - 8 -
1.4.1 结构安排 - 8 -
1.4.2 技术路线 - 9 -
第2章 基本理论 - 10 -
2.1 区域经济发展概述 - 10 -
2.1.1 区域与区域经济的定义 - 10 -
2.1.2 区域经济发展的内涵 - 11 -
2.1.3 区域经济发展的特征 - 11 -
2.2 区域物流与物流需求 - 12 -
2.2.1 区域物流概念和特点 - 12 -
2.2.2 物流需求概念和特点 - 14 --..
区域物流系统是区域经济发展大系统的子系统之一。我国区域物流业的发展正值起步阶段，许多地方纷纷把区域物流业列为支柱产业以大力发展。此时，深入分析和探讨影响区域物流需求的主要区域经济发展因素有着十分重要的现实意义。江苏是经济大省，经济总量及GDP增长率一直位于全国前列。寻找并确定影响江苏省区域物流需求的区域经济发展因素，并且对这些区域经济发展因素进行影响力分析具有十分重要的理论意义和实际价值。主要研究内容如下：
(1)在介绍和分析区域物流需求指标和区域物流需求影响因素指标的基础上，定性分析区域经济发展与区域物流的影响关系。
(2)运用ADF检验和协整检验综合分析区域经济发展因素与区域物流需求的协整关系。把存在协整关系的区域经济发展因素指标与区域物流需求量进行格兰杰因果关系检验，进一步确定因果关系类型。确定对江苏省区域物流需求具有推动作用的六个区域经济发展因素分别为地区生产总值(GDP)、第一产业生产总值(GDP1)、第二产业生产总值(GDP2)、全社会固定资产投资、社会消费品零售总额及人均收入。
(3)运用灰关联熵分析法，把对江苏省区域物流需求具有推动作用的六个区域经济发展因素进行影响力分析，研究结果按影响力从大到小依次为全社会固定资产投资、社会消费品零售总额、人均收入、第一产业生产总值(GDP1)、地区生产总值(GDP)和第二产业生产总值(GDP2)。
(4)根据江苏省实际情况，分别从区域经济发展规模及产业结构两个角度分析全社会固定资产投资、社会消费品零售总额、人均收入、第一产业生产总值、地区生产总值及第二产业生产总值对江苏省区域物流需求的影响作用，并且根据江苏省区域物流需求的特征提出江苏省发展区域物流产业的对策及建议。
关键词 区域物流；物流需求；协整检验；区域经济；江苏省
Abstract
Regional logistics system is a subsystem of regional economic development’s large-scale system. Regional logistics development in China is positive on its initial stage, many places have developed regional logistics industry as a pillar industry. At this point, deep analysis and discussion of major regional economic development factors for regional logistics demands has very important significance in practice. Jiangsu is a major economic province, with its economic output and GDP growth rate at the forefront of the country. It is of great theoretical and practical value to determine the regional economic development factors of regional logistics demands for Jiangsu Province, and to analyze these factors’ impact on regional logistics demands. The main contents are as follows:
(1) Based on regional logistics demand indicators and indicators of influencing factors of regional logistics demands, the paper analyzes relations between regional economic development and regional logistics demands qualitatively.
(2) With the methods of ADF Test and Cointegration Test, the paper researches cointegration relationships between regional economic development indicators and regional logistics demands comprehensively. Then it makes the Granger Causality Test of regional economic development indicators and regional logistics demand indicators with cointegration relationship, and defines the types of causal relationships. The regional economic development indicators that promote the regional logistics demands in Jiangsu Province respectively are: regional GDP(GDP), GDP of primary industry (GDP1), GDP of secondary industry(GDP2), total fixed asset investment, total retail sales of consumer goods and income per capita.
(3) With the method of Gray Relational Entropy Analysis, the paper researches the impact of the six regional economic development indicators that promote the regional logistics demands in Jiangsu. The impact in decreasing order is: total fixed asset investment, total retail sales of consumer goods, income per capita, GDP of primary industry(GDP1), GDP and GDP of secondary industry(GDP2).
(4) According to the actual situation of Jiangsu Province, the paper analyzes the impact of fixed asset investment, total retail sales of consumer goods, income per capita, GDP of primary industry(GDP1), GDP and GDP of secondary industry(GDP2) on regional logistics demands in Jiangsu Province, from the point of regional economic development scale and industry structure respectively. In the end the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for Jiangsu Province’s regional logistics industry development according to the characteristics of Jiangsu ’s regional logistics demands.
Keywords regional logistics; logistics demands; cointegration test; regional economy; Jiangsu Province
目 录
摘 要 Ⅰ
Abstract Ⅱ
第1章 绪论 - 1 -
1.1 研究背景和意义 - 1 -
1.1.1 研究背景 - 1 -
1.1.2 研究意义 - 3 -
1.2 研究现状 - 4 -
1.2.1 国外研究现状 - 4 -
1.2.2 国内研究现状 - 5 -
1.3 研究内容、研究方法及创新点 - 7 -
1.3.1 研究内容 - 7 -
1.3.2 研究方法 - 7 -
1.3.3 创新点 - 8 -
1.4 结构安排及技术路线 - 8 -
1.4.1 结构安排 - 8 -
1.4.2 技术路线 - 9 -
第2章 基本理论 - 10 -
2.1 区域经济发展概述 - 10 -
2.1.1 区域与区域经济的定义 - 10 -
2.1.2 区域经济发展的内涵 - 11 -
2.1.3 区域经济发展的特征 - 11 -
2.2 区域物流与物流需求 - 12 -
2.2.1 区域物流概念和特点 - 12 -
2.2.2 物流需求概念和特点 - 14 --..
