交通事故分析的可能性和局限性-------外文翻译.doc

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交通事故分析的可能性和局限性-------外文翻译,keyword:consequences; purposes; describe; limitations; concerned; accident analysis; possibilitiesabstraet:accident statistics, especially collected at a nation...
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Keyword:Consequences; purposes; describe; Limitations; concerned; Accident Analysis; possibilities
Abstraet:Accident statistics, especially collected at a national level are particularly useful for the description, monitoring and prognosis of accident developments, the detection of positive and negative safety developments, the definition of safety targets and the (product) eva luation of long term and large scale safety measures. The application of accident analysis is strongly limited for problem analysis, prospective and retrospective safety analysis on newly developed traffic systems or safety measures, as well as for (process) eva luation of special short term and small scale safety measures. There is an urgent need for the analysis of accidents in real time, in combination with background behavioural research. Automatic incident detection, combined with video recording of accidents may soon result in financially acceptable research. This type of research may eventually lead to a better understanding of the concept of risk in traffic and to well-established theories.


关键字:后果;目的;描述;限制;关注;事故分析;可能性
摘要:交通事故的统计数字,尤其国家一级的数据对监控和预测事故的发展,积极或消极检测事故的发展,以及对定义安全目标和评估工业安全特别有益。事故分析是应用非常有限的分析,是前瞻性分析和回顾性分析,能够对新开发的交通安全系统和特殊过程的安全措施进行评价。目前迫切需要一个将实时事故分析与研究相结合的行为。将自动检测和视频录制相结合的研究交通事故的科研论文会比较容易接受。这种类型的研究最终会对交通理念有个完善的认识。