宽带光纤接入网的发展趋势------英文文献翻译.doc

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宽带光纤接入网的发展趋势------英文文献翻译,the broadband access network develops condition and main applicationin fact, looking from the telecommunication development history, when the network number of ...
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The broadband access network develops condition and main application
In fact, looking from the telecommunication development history, when the network number of users achieves certain scale. Each kind of application meets the nature production; this also is so-called steps the Cuff law might to be at especially. In the history one kind of technology since birth has not been having a big pile of application, regardless of is the mobile communication or the Internet, on its short note, the browsing, the net chats and so on the key applications all is develops certain degree after the user scale to produce naturally, but is not sedulously designs beforehand plans.
Since has entered for the 21st century, the whole world broadband access network entered the big development phase. To 2004 year's end, the total number of users already achieved 150,000,000, became in the electricity reliable historical account to develop one of quickest telecommunication services, and even was also quicker than the mobile service. For example the whole world mobile service from 10,000,000 developed to 100,000,000 has spent for 5.5 years, but the broadband access service has only used for 3.5 years. According to the IDC forecast, in 2007 the global wide band total user may achieve 209,000,000, in which 9.9, namely about 20,000,000 users for optical fiber access network.


宽带接入网发展的状况和主要应用
事实上,从电信发展历史看,当网络用户数达到一定规模。各种应用会自然产生,这也是所谓的迈特卡夫定律的威力所在。历史上没有一种技术生来就带着一大堆应用的,无论是移动通信还是互联网,其短信、浏览、网上聊天等关键应用都是在用户规模发展到一定程度后自然产生的,而不是事先刻意设计策划出来的。
进入21世纪以来,全球宽带接入网进入了大发展阶段。到2004年底,总用户数已经达到1.5亿,成为电信史上发展最快的电信业务之一,甚至比移动业务还快。例如全球移动业务从1000万发展到1亿花了5.5年,而宽带接入业务仅用了3.5年。按照IDC的预测,2007年全球宽带总用户可以达到2.09亿,其中9.9,即大约2000万用户为光纤接入网。